Kutshanje, amaxabiso othutho kwiindlela ezidumileyo kwiShanghai Shipping Exchange ziye zawa emva kwenye, kwayeimarike yokuthumela izitya eTshayinaayisenanto “kunzima ukuyifumana”.Nangona izinga lokuthuthwa kwempahla liye lehla kwixesha elifutshane, lisekwinqanaba eliphezulu kwixesha eliphakathi nelide.Iinkampani ezinyukayo azichaphazeleki ngenxa yokuba zibambe inani elikhulu lee-odolo zexesha elide, kunye nezinyeabathumeli bempahlabathengisa indawo ngamaxabiso aphantsi ngenxa yokuhla komthamo wempahla.Kubathengisi bangaphandle, ukuhla kwempahla kuye kwanciphisa uxinzelelo kwiindleko zokuthumela ngenqanawa.Kwixesha eliphakathi kunye nexesha elide, imfuno ephakathi nendawo esezantsi yeukuthunyelwa kweenqanawaishishini liyehla ngelixa unikezelo kumantla enyuka, kwaye ishishini liyatshintsha kancinci ukusuka ekunqongophelweni kokubonelela ukuya kwintsalela yobonelelo.

Uhlengahlengiso lwexabiso kwiindlela ezininzi

Ngokutsho kwentatheli evela kwi-China Securities Journal, ukuhla kwexabiso kwindlela esuka e-China ukuya eYurophu kunye ne-United States yeyona nto ibonakalayo.Esona sizathu sesokuba imfuno yezikhongozelo yehlile, kwaye ishishini lokuthumela iikhonteyina lifumene unikezelo olugqithisileyo kwixesha elifutshane.

KwiUkuthunyelwa kwesikhongozeli saseTshayinaishishini, abathumeli bempahla abona mandla aphambili kumbindi womlambo.Njengebhulorho phakathi kwabanikazi bempahla kunye neenkampani zokuthumela, izithintelo zokungena ziphantsi, inani likhulu, ugxininiso luphantsi, kwaye imarike iyahlukana.

Kuyaqondwa ukuba kwikhonkco loshishino loshishino lwezothutho lwezikhongozeli zehlabathi, ukongeza kwiinkampani zothutho lwempahla ephakathi, umlambo onyukayo uquka ikakhulu abanini beenqanawa kunye neenkampani zokuthumela ngenqanawa, ezifana nemibutho emithathu ephambili yeliner, eziziimarike ezigxile kakhulu;ngelixa umlambo osezantsi ulawulwa ziinkampani ezibandakanyekayo ekungeniseni nasekuthumeleni ngaphandle., kubandakanywa kodwa kungaphelelanga kubarhwebi kunye neenkampani zokuvelisa, imarike yahlulahlulwe.

Xa sijonga indlela yakutsha nje yamaxabiso othutho kwiindlela ezidumileyo, amaxabiso eendlela ezifana neFar East-Europe kunye neFar East-North America onke ehlile.Ukujonga kwiikowuteshini zakutsha nje, izinga lothutho lwendlela ye-Shanghai-West America licatshulwe kwi-US$7,116/FEU, yehle nge-11% ukususela ekuqaleni konyaka;izinga lothutho lwendlela ye-Shanghai-Europe yacatshulwe kwi-US $5,697/TEU, yehle nge-26.7% xa kuthelekiswa nokuqala konyaka.Ngaphandle kwendlela yaseJapan, iindlela ezikweminye imimandla zonke zalile ukuya kumaqondo ahlukeneyo.

Ngokutsho kwedatha evela kwi-Shailand Shipping Exchange, i-Shailand Export Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) iye yawa iiveki ezine ngokulandelanayo, ibonisa ukuhla kwenyuka ngokubanzi ukususela ekuqaleni konyaka.Ukususela kwiveki ye-8 kaJulayi 2022, isalathisi esihlanganisiweyo se-SCFI sasiku-4143.87, phantsi kwe-19% ukususela ekuqaleni konyaka kunye ne-5.4% ngonyaka.

Uxinzelelo lweendleko zamashishini athumela ngaphandle luyathotywa

Ngokubhekiselele kwizizathu zokuhla kwamaxabiso eenqanawa zokuthumela, kwelinye icala, imfuno yempahla ethunyelwa kumazwe angaphandle kuqoqosho olukhulu olunje ngeYurophu neUnited States yehlile, ekwasesona sizathu siphambili sokuhla kwamva nje kumaxabiso othutho lwekhonteyina.Amaxabiso othutho ngemigca ehle kakhulu.Kwicala lonikezelo, kwelinye icala, umthamo wesikhongozeli sehlabathi ukhule ngokuphakathi.Idatha kaClarkson ibonisa ukuba ukusukela ngoJuni ka-2022, umthamo wenqanawa wehlabathi jikelele umalunga ne-25 yezigidi ze-TEU, ukwanda malunga ne-3.6 yezigidi ze-TEU ukusuka ekuqaleni konyaka.Ukunyuka komthamo kukwabonelela ngempembelelo ethile yokuhla kwamaxabiso omthwalo.

Umhlalutyi weenqanawa waxelela intatheli ephuma kwiChina Securities Journal, “Kutshanje, ingcaphulo yekamva iyancipha ngokwenene.Ngaphambili, indlela yase-US yatsala isixa esikhulu semfuno eqikelelwayo, kodwa imeko yezoqoqosho yangaphandle yalo nyaka iye yawohloka, idityaniswa nempembelelo yeemeko ezingxamisekileyo ezahlukeneyo, uvakalelo oluqikelelwayo luye lwaba buthathaka, nokuthunyelwa kwempahla kuye kwaba buthathaka.Izibonelelo zithotyiwe.”

Kufanelekile ukukhankanya ukuba i-Index ye-Baltic Sea Freight Index (FBX), esondele kwisantya somthwalo wempahla yokuthutha, iye yawa ngokuphawulekayo, ibonisa ukucutha okuqhubekayo kokumahluko wexabiso phakathi kwexabiso lokuthunyelwa kwempahla kunye nekowuteshini yenkampani yokuthumela.

Intatheli yafunda ukuba ukuhla kwemilinganiselo yomthwalo wempahla kunempembelelo ebalulekileyo kwiinkampani eziphakathi kunye nezantsi, ngelixa iinkampani zokuthutha ezihamba phezulu zisayine inani elikhulu leenkontileka zexesha elide kunye namaxabiso aphezulu kwaye azizange zichaphazeleke okwangoku.Kwiinkampani zokuthumela inqanawa, izinga lokusetyenziswa kwendawo ekhoyo ngoku ukusuka kwi-Port yaseShanghai lisemalunga ne-90%, kwaye ukusayinwa kombutho wexesha elide kulo nyaka kuhle kakhulu, okwenze isiqinisekiso esithile kwinzuzo yeenkampani zokuthumela.

Iinkampani zaseTshayina zoThuthongoku bajamelene noxinzelelo olukhulu.Ukuncipha kwemfuno yaphesheya kweelwandle kuzise ilahleko ethile yomthamo wempahla, kwaye ukwanda kwenani labakhweli abathe ngqo kuye kwacudisa ngakumbi isabelo semarike sokuthunyelwa kwempahla;kwiinkampani ezisezantsi, ukuhla kwempahla kunye nokuthengiswa kweenqanawa Ukunyuka kwezinga kuye kwanciphisa uxinzelelo kwiindleko zokuthumela iinkampani ngaphandle.

Ukufumana ibhalansi entsha phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno

Imarike yokuthumela iikhonteyina yehlabathi itshintshile ukusuka “kubunzima bokufumana ibhokisi” ukuya “kwiibhokisi zokuthengisa ngesaphulelo”, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba unikezelo kunye nepateni yemfuno yeshishini lokuthumela iikhonteyina liyatshintsha.

Lo nyaka yindawo yokuguquguquka kushishino lokuthumela ngenqanawa.Ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu eYurophu nase-United States, utshintsho kumgaqo-nkqubo wezemali kunye nomngcipheko okhulayo wokudodobala koqoqosho, kunzima ukuba amaxabiso okuthunyelwa kweenqanawa aqhubeke nokunyuka.

Ukujonga emva kumjikelo wangoku wehlabathiukuthunyelwa kweenqanawaukunyuka kwamaxabiso, ukususela ekuqhambukeni kobhubhane ngo-2020, i-China iye yakhokela ekuqaliseni umsebenzi kunye nemveliso.Kwangaxeshanye, phantsi kwemvelaphi yenkxaso-mali kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yokunciphisa imali eYurophu naseUnited States, kuye kwafunwa inani elikhulu leempahla ezivela kwamanye amazwe.Imfuno yokuthuthwa kweekhonteyina ikhule kakhulu.Ukongeza, ngenxa yobhubhane kunye nokungahambelani phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno, ukuxinana kwezibuko kunye nokusebenza okucothayo kwengeniso kuye kwanyusa izinga lomthwalo.Emva kokungena kwi-2022, echaphazelekayo yingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuqoqosho oluninzi emhlabeni jikelele kuya kuba phezulu, kwaye imfuno yempahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle eYurophu nase-United States iya kuncipha.Kwixesha eliphakathi nelide, ishishini lokuthumela iikhonteyina litshintsha kancinci ukusuka ekunqongopheleni konikezelo ukuya kwintsalela yobonelelo.

Ngexesha elifutshane, izinga lokuthuthwa kwempahla alikangeni kwinqanaba lokuhla ngokukhawuleza, kwaye inqanaba lomthwalo wempahla kulo nyaka liza kuhlala liphezulu kwaye liguquguquka.Ugqaliselo lwecala lonikezelo lusekuxinana kwezibuko.Ngokufika kwexesha eliphakamileyo kunye nomngcipheko wogwayimbo, ukuxinana kwamazibuko eYurophu naseUnited States kuye kwaba mandundu ngokwamanqanaba awahlukeneyo.Ngoko ke, kunzima ukuba amaxabiso omthwalo ehle kwikota yesithathu;kwikota yesine, izivumelwano ze-liner zingasabela ngokufanelekileyo ekunciphiseni kwemfuno ngokuhlengahlengisa uhambo, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba izinga lokuhla kwemilinganiselo yempahla kwikota yesine ayiyi kukhawuleza kakhulu.Ukukhangela phambili kwi-2023, inani elikhulu leenqanawa ezitsha liya kusungulwa, ukuguquguquka kokulungelelaniswa kwamandla kuya kuncipha, kwaye imfuno iya kuba buthathaka ngakumbi, kwaye amaxabiso omthwalo we-container angangena kwinqanaba lokuhla ngokukhawuleza.

Kumxholo wokuhla kwamaxabiso okuhambisa kunye nokugqithiswa kwee-container, abathengisi baseTshayina kufuneka balumke ngakumbi ekukhetheni kwaboabathumeli bempahla eTshayina.Endaweni yokulandela ngokumfamekileyo amaxabiso aphantsi, kungcono ukhethe inkampani yamazwe ngamazwe yokuthunyelwa kwempahla eqinisekisiweyo nengabizi kakhulu ukunyusa iindleko kunye nokwandisa inzuzo.IShenzhen Focus Global Logistics Co., Ltd.uye wabandakanyeka ngokunzulu kushishino iminyaka eyi-21, kwaye uye wagcina ubudlelwane obusondeleyo kunye nobuhlobo bentsebenziswano kunye neenkampani ezininzi ezaziwayo zokuthumela ngenqanawa.Ngamaxabiso okuhambisa aluncedo, ngokwembono yabathengi, ibonelela ngeyona nto ibiza kakhuluizinto eziwela imida kunye nezisombululo zothutho ezivela eTshayina. If you have business needs, please feel free to contact us – TEL: 0755-29303225, E-mail: info@view-scm.com, and look forward to cooperating with you!